What does it mean when they say 20 percent chance of rain?

What does percent chance of rain actually mean?

The official definition of the probability of precipitation by the National Weather Service is the chance of precipitation (rain, snow, etc.) occurring at any one spot in the area covered by the forecast. … If we’re 50% confident that 100% of the Valley will get rain, then there’s a 50% chance of rainfall.

What does 30 chance of rain actually mean?

For example, a 30 percent chance of rain may mean 100 percent confidence that only 30 percent of the forecast area is going to get rain. … You can also get a roughly 30 percent POP with 80 percent confidence that 40 percent of the forecast area will get rain, and so on and so forth.

Is 30% chance of rain alot?

The forecast of a 30 percent chance of rain can mean all of the area will get rain if it rains, but the forecaster has only a 30 percent confidence that rain will indeed arrive. It can also mean that scattered rain is a certainty, but it will affect only 30 percent of the area.

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Is a 10% chance of rain high?

If there’s a 10 percent chance of rain, it means the current conditions yield rainfall one out of every 10 times observed. … It can be so small scale that one part of a county may get drenched with an inch of rain on a particular day while another portion of that same county stays completely dry.”

Does 60% chance of rain mean it will rain?

If they say 60% chance of rain, 60% of their area will experience rain at some point during the forecast period. … Likewise, 20% chance of rain means you’re unlikely to see any rain at all today, or 20% of the area is going to be drenched.

What does 70% rain mean?

Basically, it means that a certain percentage of the forecast area is expected to get rain. … So, hold onto your umbrellas because after today we have a 70 percent chance of rain for Thursday and a 60 percent chance of rain for Friday.

Will it rain if there is a 40 percent chance?

According to the National Weather Service, if you see a 40 percent chance of rain, “there is a 40 percent chance that rain will occur at any given point in the area.”

What does the percentage of rain mean Tiktok?

The percentage refers to the chance in your specific area, based on the premise that it is 100 percent going to rain. So the next time you see any percentage at all you’ll at least know it’s definitely going to be raining somewhere relatively nearby.

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What does a 50 percent chance of rain mean?

A 50 percent chance of rain means there is a 50 percent chance for any one spot in the forecast area to get wet during the forecast period.

What does the percent chance of rain mean on iPhone?

What does the percentage of rain mean on weather forecasts and the iPhone app? … However, that’s not actually true – as the percentage refers to the chance of rain falling in a specific region, rather than how much rain might actually fall.